Blogs » Politcs Plus » What Obama must do to get reelected..Phase I



President Obama can now concentrate on his opponent, Mitt Romney because it's highly unlikely that any major piece of major legislation will be passed between now and November. Tomorrow, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid might submit the Buffet Rule for an up or down vote, but that may be a political stunt to get Republican senators on the record. The Democrats are serious but so are the Republicans on this issue.

This election will come down to a voter's analysis of how the country is doing. We can ask the breakfast crowd at Ramsey's for the meaning of GDP and very few, if any, will know the answer. Voters are more interested in the future than the past. The president shouldn't continue to remind the voters of what he inherited because most of the country already knows that, besides they want to know what he will do with a second term.

The president is around 50% approval right now, but he has to maintain that because just four presidents have ever started their reelection with less than 50% and President Nixon is the only who has ever won with under 50% approval.

The state of the economy is pretty good considering that it's bad all over. We're still are doing better than Canada and our European trading partners. Greece might put a damper on our economy if they choose to default rather than accept the terms of their creditors. China continues to have the corner on low wages but for now we have the cheapest natural gas, so we're ahead on overall energy cost. Saudi Arabia said they can replenish the oil supply the world market will lose if Iran chooses to cut back its oil supply. The president really doesn't have any control over the world market gas prices, but he will play a penalty with voters if prices continue to rise. Right now, manufacturing is up and so are retail sales, but we still have a housing and job's deficit.

The president will try to make this election about fairness, and his opponent will make it about liberty and what they call opportunity. From what I've seen from the Ryan budget, it will be more supply- side trickle-down economics, so the president has to make a case against income inequality. The president's opponents will say that the Buffet rule is class- warfare and that it would only generate ~ $48 billion over 10 years. The president will counter by saying that it's all about fairness and shared sacrifice because that $48 billion would be put to use in education, innovation, and infrastructure and used to lessen the burden on the poor, disabled, elderly, and students. The president must sound willing to come to the table and talk about entitlement reform, but he should always insist the revenues be part of the plan rather than balancing the entire budget on the backs of those that are not represented by lobbyists.

I think the" individual mandate" will be struck down in June, but the rest of the healthcare law will be left intact for Congress to sort out, but his opponents will say that the president wasted precious time passing a law that was unconstitutional. The president will point to GM, more than 3.3 million private-sector jobs created and the killing of Osama bin Laden as proof that they were capable of multitasking.

I can't see a scenario where Mitt Romney will have an advantage on foreign policy over the current president. While it's true that North Korea is starting to make some noise; they have been doing that for decades. President Obama has imposed some tough sanctions on Iran; in fact, it may be the toughest sanctions one country has ever put on another.

I'm sure that the Obama campaign is fully aware that they cannot get complacent and take the lead they have in the Hispanic and woman's vote for granted. Those demographics might not join the opposition, but they could stay home. Those numbers are sure to tighten, and endless amounts of Super PAC money will be spent to distort his record. It will probably be one of the nastiest campaigns in history if they are anything like the Republican primaries of 2012.

It's still pretty early, and all the clichés apply like “voters won't start to get interested until after Labor Day," but the president must be willing to stay above the fray as much as possible because by September, voters will be sick and tired of all the vicious campaign ads.